![]() ![]() Star Wars 9 will have to pull best-case-scenario box office while Avengers 4 will also have to pull worst-case-scenario box office.Īvengers: Endgame will be coming off a critically-acclaimed and crowd-pleasing cliffhanger. For Avengers: Endgame to end up below the expected final total of Star Wars 9, the MCU movie will have to drop more than expected from Avengers: Infinity War. ![]() For Star Wars IX to top the likely global gross of Endgame, it has to take an even bigger-than-expected jump from The Last Jedi. Well, here's the rub: Barring a fluke in either direction, the MCU movie has an advantage over the Lucasfilm flick. Presuming that Star Wars 9 and Avengers 4 battle it out for the title of "biggest movie of 2019," what's the likely outcome? It is always possible that something like The Lion King will click on an unprecedented scale (or that Captain Marvel will flirt with Black Panther numbers). But who will win out? Just for fun, I wanted to dig into the precedent and see what big Disney franchise ender (yes, both Lucasfilm and the MCU will live on, but you get the idea) has the advantage. Before we get into this, these are not predictions. ![]() We have two season finales/end-of-the-line chapters opening within eight months of each other, and it's all but certain that they will end the year as the two biggest grossers of 2019. But the big (and fun) question will be a somewhat unprecedented showdown of sorts between Avengers: Endgame and Star Wars Episode IX. And we can discuss how by how far Dumbo and Aladdin will end up trailing The Lion King, Frozen 2 and Toy Story 4. We can argue whether Captain Marvel will earn grosses closer to Doctor Strange or Thor: Ragnarok (or beyond). We can debate, perhaps arbitrarily, whether Frozen 2, Lion King or Toy Story 4 will earn more globally. ![]()
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